| I-MAG STS |
| Written some years ago, the IMAGSTS CHIRU software was named for an obscure Tibetan antelope |
| (Pantholops hodgsonii) that was associated with fraudulent photojournalism by Liu Weiqing in 2007. |
| We have no updates on the status of Liu Weiqing. There is considerable dispute about whether the |
| antelopes are prospering or if the populations have merely stabilized. The primary problem is the chiru |
| grows a very soft, light and warm underfur called shahtoosh (Persian = king of wools). This motivates |
| poachers. Of considerable biological interest is that the chiru is the only mammal known to retain |
| fetal hemoglobin. In the case of the chiru this provides a metabolic advantage needed to survive at the |
| altitudes the antelopes often live at. The 2004 movie Kekexili: Mountain Patrol is recommended. |
| The CHIRU software asserted that election results could be predicted on the basis of economic measures. |
| That implied if the reported results varied significantly there might be irregularities in the voting - |
| or even in the reported econometric figures. Normally, we preferred to use CHIRU on the bright side - |
| to estimate the likelihood of Theresa May being replaced as Prime Minister or of Jacinda Ardern being |
| re-elected as Prime Minister of New Zealand in a landslide. On what might be called the dark side CHIRU |
| was used somewhat reluctantly to confirms concerns about massive voting irregularities in the Bolivian 2019 |
| election, among others. There we expected either a replacement election or a run-off - we did not expect |
| the multiple resignations that followed. |
| In any case, a combination of flattery and extortion served to get COVID-19 cases and deaths added as |
| factors. As has been dwelt upon at some length elsewhere, the COVID data does not have a reputation for |
| accuracy. Neither does econometric data, notably unemployment and poverty, from the United States. |
| Predictions posted 10/26 on the Silver Wolf Wushu blog: |
| For President - Electoral votes: Joseph Biden: 343; Donald Trump: 195 |
| For the House of Representatives: 250 Democrats; 185 Republicans |
| For the US Senate: 47 Democrats; 2 Independents and 46 Republicans with 5 races (Montana, North Carolina, |
| 2 in Georgia and Iowa) being too close to call. CHIRU estimates it is very unlikely that Republicans win all five, so it |
| is likely control of the Senate passes to the Democrats, although by a slim margin. |
| Back to IMAGSTS pages |
| Predicted Electoral College votes by US State click here |